BullzeyeBULLZEYE
Join the waitlist
Module 03

Trend structure, moving averages, and VWAP as the anchor

Higher highs and higher lows is the whole definition. VWAP is the one line that genuinely matters intraday, and here is why.

8 min read · module 03 of 09

Trend has a definition that fits in a sentence: a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, or lower highs and lower lows. Everything else is commentary.

The practical value is that it gives you a falsifiable statement. If you are long an uptrend, the trend is intact until price makes a lower low. That is not an opinion, and it is where your stop belongs. "The trend looks tired" is not a trading decision; "it broke the last higher low at 4.12" is.

VWAP

Higher highs and higher lows, then the VWAP lossHLHLHHLOST VWAP
The trend is intact while each pullback holds above the last. Losing VWAP on bar 9 is where the character of the day changes.

Volume-weighted average price: the average price paid today, weighted by size, reset each session. It is the most useful single line on an intraday chart, for a reason that has nothing to do with technical analysis: it is the benchmark large orders are measured against, so real flow reacts to it.

  • ·Above VWAP: the average buyer today is in profit. Dips get bought.
  • ·Below VWAP: the average buyer is underwater. Rallies get sold into by people getting out flat.
  • ·Losing VWAP after holding it: one of the cleanest intraday signals there is. The character of the day changes.
  • ·Reclaiming VWAP on volume: the VWAP reclaim setup. Needs participation, or it is noise crossing a line.

Moving averages, and how few you need

MAIntraday roleVerdict
9 EMAThe trailing edge of a strong trend. Momentum names ride it.Keep
20 EMAWhere the first real pullback usually finds support.Keep
200 EMA (1-min)Rough session-level context, occasionally a magnet.Optional
50 / 100 / 200 SMA (daily)Meaningful on liquid names. Largely decorative on a microcap that IPO'd 11 months ago.Drop intraday

A moving average is a lagging summary of price you already have on the screen. Its honest use is as a visual trailing stop and a way to see whether pullbacks are getting shallower or deeper. It is not support in the way a prior high is support: nobody has a position at the 9 EMA, because the 9 EMA is not a price anyone traded.

Done with this module?

Close it and the candle prints on your tape · stored in this browser

The founding cohort is 1,000 seats.

We admit 1,000 traders at a time because that is the largest number whose feedback on radar accuracy we can actually work through before opening the next batch. Applications are admitted in order; the intake asks what you trade, and answering it moves you up.

No card at application. Founding price locked for the life of your account. The full intake asks what you trade and moves you up the queue.

Founding cohort · 1,000 seatsApplications open

Admitted in order of application · momentum traders who complete the intake go first · founding price locked for the life of your account