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The six archetypes, and the shape each one fails in

Every intraday momentum trade is a variation on six shapes. Knowing which one you are in tells you where the risk sits.

9 min read

The Sim Trainer sorts its replay library into six archetypes because, in our episode set, almost every low-float intraday move is a variation on one of them. What is worth learning is not the entry: it is the specific way each one goes wrong.

Gap and go

Gaps up on a catalyst, drives off the open, pulls back, makes a second leg, fades into the afternoon. Fails by: the open drive being the high, with the first pullback simply continuing. If the first pullback breaks the opening range low, the archetype is already wrong.

First pullback

Drive, then a tight consolidation, then a break of the flag. The highest win rate of the six in our ledger data, and the one that most rewards patience. Fails by: the flag drifting rather than holding. A flag that takes longer than the drive that made it is not a flag.

VWAP reclaim

Opens strong, loses VWAP, bases below it, then reclaims and runs. Fails by: reclaiming on no volume and immediately losing it again. The reclaim needs participation or it is just noise crossing a line.

Low-float squeeze

Ignition, vertical move, micro pullback, second leg, flush. Highest average R of the six and the lowest win rate. Fails by: the flush arriving before your second leg does. Position for the flush, because it comes for every one of them eventually.

Parabolic fade

Grind, acceleration, climax, reversal. The only short in the set. Fails by: being early. The climax is only identifiable afterwards, and a parabola can add another 40% while you are being right about it.

Failed breakout

Coils, breaks out, rejects, flushes, bounces weakly. Fails by: the rejection not actually rejecting. A break that holds above the level for more than a few minutes is not this archetype and you should stop treating it as one.

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